Credit: Ustas | Adobe StockTop 10 European Real Estate Market Trends
Distilled from high-level insights from the market’s top minds, GRI Institute reveals 10 major trends shaping European real estate
October 20, 2025Real Estate
Written by Helen Richards
Key Takeaways:
Demographic shifts, technological acceleration, and evolving financial landscapes are all contributing to the profound transformation of the European real estate industry. This article distills the top ten trends drawn from exclusive reports and insights gathered by the GRI Institute, setting the agenda for investors and developers across the continent. As one of the industry’s most respected sources, the GRI Institute captures the perspectives of its top leaders, providing an unparalleled view of the sector’s near-term future.
According to the GRI Barometer: European Real Estate Outlook 2025, 52% of the senior real estate professionals surveyed see residential real estate as the top opportunity for the next 12 months, with a focus on providing more affordable housing options in many major European cities.
Alternatives - which include a number of sub-segments of the living sector, such as senior living and student housing - followed closely in the poll, with 48%, reflecting the demand for diverse residential offerings.
Flexible leasing and multi-use developments are also poised to dominate as more residents opt for versatile living conditions, blending housing with shared workspaces.
Within these flexible living models, a further trend towards vertically integrated platforms is emerging, where operators manage both development and operations to maximise ROI and value for the end customer.
Technology-driven real estate assets, or PropTech, also continues to innovate. From the physical to the digital, innovations include smart buildings equipped with IoT for energy efficiency and predictive maintenance; digital platforms that transform real estate operations; leveraging AI and Big Data for property valuations and personalised searches; VR/AR for immersive virtual tours; Blockchain for secure, fractional ownership and smart contracts; and sophisticated software for automating property and transaction management.
Properties that do not meet sustainability standards are at risk of losing value, with a rising number of investors seeking assets that align with green initiatives. The focus on achieving net-zero emissions and improving operational efficiencies is no longer seen as optional but as essential for long-term viability.
This phenomenon, often described as the "flight to quality”, is seeing a substantial shift towards high-quality buildings, particularly in central urban locations.
The gap between these prime assets and poorly located secondary offices is widening as occupier interest in the latter wanes. The average vacancy rate in the outlying districts of some major European cities can be nearly double that of the CBDs.
This segment also faces a higher risk of functional and environmental obsolescence due to upcoming EU regulations like the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD). Investors are generally cautious, leading to substantial value declines and secondary yields now trading at a much higher, distressed level.
Madrid stood out as the top pick by industry leaders for the most promising European cities in the GRI Barometer: European Real Estate Outlook 2025, with almost twice as many votes as second-place London. Lisbon came in third, while Barcelona fell just outside the top five to take sixth place.
The dynamic of the European real estate market has broadly flipped in recent years, with Southern European countries increasingly attracting capital while core Northern and Central European markets - notably Germany and to some extent the UK - have experienced a sharper slowdown in transaction volumes and pricing pressure, driven by a combination of macroeconomic, structural, and behavioural factors.
Madrid was voted the most promising European city for real estate investments in the GRI Barometer. (Credit: Adobe Stock)
Particularly in countries with strong tourism industries, such as Spain and Italy, the sector is enjoying a strong post-pandemic recovery. The middle class is rising globally, driving demand for mid-scale and economy hotels, while at the other end of the spectrum, the luxury segment is also seeing strong returns.
Although large tier-one cities continue to be key, there is a growing trend of investment in secondary cities and secondary locations within major cities, partly driven by the desire of younger generations to visit less-travelled locations.
This issue was voted the main challenge currently facing the market, with 57% of votes in the GRI Barometer: European Real Estate Outlook 2025.
Broader political instability amplifies these regulatory risks as political shifts can lead to abrupt changes in housing policy, land use plans, or the introduction of new taxes. This constant threat of a policy U-turn increases the risk premium demanded by investors.
Global conflicts and major trade disputes also pose geopolitical risks that can impact supply chains, drive up construction material prices, and increase the overall cost of capital. This uncertainty is a key reason many investors currently adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, delaying major, multi-year development commitments.
Trends in LML delivery infrastructure are overwhelmingly focused on proximity, automation, and sustainability to meet the exponential growth of e-commerce and rising consumer demand for rapid, flexible delivery. The industry is currently transforming the urban supply chain by shrinking the distance between inventory and the customer.
The sector is also seeing the rise of hyper-local fulfillment through Dark Stores and automated Micro-Fulfillment Centres (MFCs), which place inventory closer to the customer to enable same-day service.
Intense competition for prime, low-risk assets (new, high-ESG properties) has concentrated lender liquidity, driving down senior loan margins for these desirable deals.
In contrast, secondary or speculative properties face severe financing challenges - hesitation from traditional banks forces borrowers to accept dramatically wider credit spreads from specialised debt funds to compensate for the greater risk of obsolescence and default.
For more real estate market research, check out the latest articles on the GRI Hub as well as our full catalogue of reports here.
Stay on top of current industry events and get additional insights by signing up for the GRI Insights Europe newsletter.
Key Takeaways:
- Residential demand, bifurcation of offices, resilience of hospitality, focus on tech-driven assets, and growth of last-mile logistics all hit the list of top European real estate trends.
- The regulatory environment, political instability, and growing ESG importance also make the list, as geopolitical uncertainty is a major reason deterring investment.
- The debt market is experiencing a shift from a bank-centric model to multi-source financing, and intense competition for prime assets has concentrated lender liquidity.
Demographic shifts, technological acceleration, and evolving financial landscapes are all contributing to the profound transformation of the European real estate industry. This article distills the top ten trends drawn from exclusive reports and insights gathered by the GRI Institute, setting the agenda for investors and developers across the continent. As one of the industry’s most respected sources, the GRI Institute captures the perspectives of its top leaders, providing an unparalleled view of the sector’s near-term future.
1. Growing Demand for Residential Real Estate
The demand for residential properties, particularly multi-family and build-to-rent (BTR), is expected to remain strong. This growth is being driven by the ongoing housing shortage in the region that stems from demographic pressures, affordability issues, and migration patterns across Europe.According to the GRI Barometer: European Real Estate Outlook 2025, 52% of the senior real estate professionals surveyed see residential real estate as the top opportunity for the next 12 months, with a focus on providing more affordable housing options in many major European cities.
Alternatives - which include a number of sub-segments of the living sector, such as senior living and student housing - followed closely in the poll, with 48%, reflecting the demand for diverse residential offerings.
2. Shift Towards Flexible Living Models
Managed residential spaces, such as co-living and short-term rentals, continue to expand as renters increasingly seek flexibility. This trend is particularly notable in cities with transient populations, such as Paris, where short-term rental options are in high demand.Flexible leasing and multi-use developments are also poised to dominate as more residents opt for versatile living conditions, blending housing with shared workspaces.
Within these flexible living models, a further trend towards vertically integrated platforms is emerging, where operators manage both development and operations to maximise ROI and value for the end customer.
3. Increased Focus on Data Centres and Technology-driven Assets
Investors are aligning capital with sectors underpinned by the technological transformation. As digital infrastructure becomes more essential to the modern economy, data centres are increasingly seen as a key investment.Technology-driven real estate assets, or PropTech, also continues to innovate. From the physical to the digital, innovations include smart buildings equipped with IoT for energy efficiency and predictive maintenance; digital platforms that transform real estate operations; leveraging AI and Big Data for property valuations and personalised searches; VR/AR for immersive virtual tours; Blockchain for secure, fractional ownership and smart contracts; and sophisticated software for automating property and transaction management.
ESG considerations in real estate are now “absolutely paramount”. (Credit: Adobe Stock)
4. Rise of ESG and Sustainability in Investment Decisions
Sustainability and ESG considerations are no longer a groundbreaking topic but a fundamental requirement for making a deal. Investing in energy-efficient assets is “absolutely paramount,” according to GRI Institute members.Properties that do not meet sustainability standards are at risk of losing value, with a rising number of investors seeking assets that align with green initiatives. The focus on achieving net-zero emissions and improving operational efficiencies is no longer seen as optional but as essential for long-term viability.
5. Prime and Secondary Office Market Divergence
While there remains strong demand for prime office assets, secondary markets are facing more significant challenges. As companies adapt to hybrid work models, secondary office spaces are experiencing lower demand.This phenomenon, often described as the "flight to quality”, is seeing a substantial shift towards high-quality buildings, particularly in central urban locations.
The gap between these prime assets and poorly located secondary offices is widening as occupier interest in the latter wanes. The average vacancy rate in the outlying districts of some major European cities can be nearly double that of the CBDs.
This segment also faces a higher risk of functional and environmental obsolescence due to upcoming EU regulations like the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD). Investors are generally cautious, leading to substantial value declines and secondary yields now trading at a much higher, distressed level.
6. Strong Investor Interest in Spain and Portugal
The Iberian Peninsular and particularly its major urban hubs, Madrid, Lisbon, and Barcelona, are increasingly viewed as attractive investment destinations, and particularly in the residential and hospitality sectors, thanks to the robust housing demand and growing international interest.Madrid stood out as the top pick by industry leaders for the most promising European cities in the GRI Barometer: European Real Estate Outlook 2025, with almost twice as many votes as second-place London. Lisbon came in third, while Barcelona fell just outside the top five to take sixth place.
The dynamic of the European real estate market has broadly flipped in recent years, with Southern European countries increasingly attracting capital while core Northern and Central European markets - notably Germany and to some extent the UK - have experienced a sharper slowdown in transaction volumes and pricing pressure, driven by a combination of macroeconomic, structural, and behavioural factors.
Madrid was voted the most promising European city for real estate investments in the GRI Barometer. (Credit: Adobe Stock)7. Resilient Investment in Hospitality
The hotel sector has become a primary asset class for many investors in Europe, moving away from its previous niche status and attracting a wide range of capital, including HNWIs, private equity, and family offices.Particularly in countries with strong tourism industries, such as Spain and Italy, the sector is enjoying a strong post-pandemic recovery. The middle class is rising globally, driving demand for mid-scale and economy hotels, while at the other end of the spectrum, the luxury segment is also seeing strong returns.
Although large tier-one cities continue to be key, there is a growing trend of investment in secondary cities and secondary locations within major cities, partly driven by the desire of younger generations to visit less-travelled locations.
8. The Impact of Regulatory and Political Uncertainty
The interplay of regulatory burdens and political uncertainty is a significant headwind for European real estate development, driving up costs, lengthening timelines, and fundamentally altering the financial viability of many projects.This issue was voted the main challenge currently facing the market, with 57% of votes in the GRI Barometer: European Real Estate Outlook 2025.
Broader political instability amplifies these regulatory risks as political shifts can lead to abrupt changes in housing policy, land use plans, or the introduction of new taxes. This constant threat of a policy U-turn increases the risk premium demanded by investors.
Global conflicts and major trade disputes also pose geopolitical risks that can impact supply chains, drive up construction material prices, and increase the overall cost of capital. This uncertainty is a key reason many investors currently adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, delaying major, multi-year development commitments.
9. Growth of Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Infrastructure
Although logistics has been a dominant sector in the past, its growth is beginning to plateau, particularly as yields in the sector compress. However, last-mile logistics (LML) and urban fulfilment centres are enjoying increasing demand.Trends in LML delivery infrastructure are overwhelmingly focused on proximity, automation, and sustainability to meet the exponential growth of e-commerce and rising consumer demand for rapid, flexible delivery. The industry is currently transforming the urban supply chain by shrinking the distance between inventory and the customer.
The sector is also seeing the rise of hyper-local fulfillment through Dark Stores and automated Micro-Fulfillment Centres (MFCs), which place inventory closer to the customer to enable same-day service.
10. Financial Liquidity and Debt Market Challenges
The European real estate debt market is in a phase of re-alignment and significant bifurcation, moving away from a bank-centric model to a more complex, multi-source financing structure. The interplay of higher base rates, abundant liquidity, and tighter regulatory scrutiny has created a highly fragmented landscape.Intense competition for prime, low-risk assets (new, high-ESG properties) has concentrated lender liquidity, driving down senior loan margins for these desirable deals.
In contrast, secondary or speculative properties face severe financing challenges - hesitation from traditional banks forces borrowers to accept dramatically wider credit spreads from specialised debt funds to compensate for the greater risk of obsolescence and default.
For more real estate market research, check out the latest articles on the GRI Hub as well as our full catalogue of reports here.
Stay on top of current industry events and get additional insights by signing up for the GRI Insights Europe newsletter.