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Institute","2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-29T10:57:44.000Z","2026-05-29T11:26:43.000Z",[1460],{"id":1461,"newsId":1447,"languageId":25,"title":1462,"subtitle":1463,"content":1464,"summary":978,"takeaways":1465,"seoTagConversionId":8,"seoTag":8,"seoTitle":1466,"seoKeywords":1467,"seoDescription":1463,"seoAbstract":8,"seoImage":1468,"createdAt":1469,"updatedAt":1470,"language":1471},4608,"GRI Barometer: México, ativos logísticos e data centers lideram preferências na América Latina","Pesquisa realizada pelo GRI Institute no Latin America GRI Real Estate 2026, em NY, também aponta os principais gargalos e as maiores tendências no real estate","O GRI Barometer conduzido no Latin America GRI Real Estate 2026, em Nova York, indica que a região atravessa uma janela de entrada que combina valuations atrativos, teses estruturais de crescimento e uma reconfiguração profunda das classes de ativos prioritárias. O otimismo existe, mas é temperado por obstáculos regulatórios persistentes e por uma seletividade cada vez maior na alocação de capital. Confira a seguir os destaques.\r\n\u003Ch2>Boas oportunidades de entrada\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nA percepção predominante entre os executivos ouvidos é que a América Latina se encontra em fase de recuperação inicial, com pontos de entrada atrativos para capital paciente. Apenas 6% identificam distresse significativo nos mercados da região. Essa leitura reflete uma combinação de fatores que vêm amadurecendo nos últimos trimestres: estabilização gradual das taxas de juros em economias-chave, compressão de spreads no segmento de dívida e a retomada seletiva de horizontes de desenvolvimento.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_20268_2026_5_29_13_51_32_1780062692.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nO dado mais revelador, contudo, é o que não aparece entre as preocupações centrais. A volatilidade cambial, historicamente o fantasma que afugenta alocadores globais da região, foi citada por apenas 5% dos participantes como obstáculo relevante. \u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nPara quem acompanha o mercado latino-americano há décadas, essa mudança de percepção sugere que a sofisticação das estratégias de hedge - combinada com a estabilização relativa de moedas como o real brasileiro e o peso mexicano frente ao dólar - alterou estruturalmente o cálculo de risco dos investidores internacionais.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA região oferece atualmente uma combinação rara de valuations descontados e fundamentos macroeconômicos em melhoria. O investidor que esperar a confirmação plena do ciclo de alta pode perder a janela. \r\n\u003Ch2>México lidera intenções de investimento\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nO México é o destino preferencial de capital para os próximos 12 a 24 meses, de acordo com os respondentes do GRI Barometer. A posição é sustentada por uma convergência de fatores que transcende o ciclo imobiliário convencional: o nearshoring - a relocação de cadeias produtivas para proximidade do mercado consumidor norte-americano - transformou estados como Nuevo León, Jalisco e Querétaro em epicentros de demanda por espaço industrial, logístico e, cada vez mais, por infraestrutura digital de suporte.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_20267_2026_5_29_13_51_33_1780062693.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nDados da Asociación Mexicana de Parques Industriales Privados (AMPIP) indicam que a taxa de vacância industrial em mercados como Monterrey e Ciudad Juárez atingiu mínimas históricas, pressionando aluguéis para cima e justificando novos ciclos de desenvolvimento especulativo. A América Central e o Caribe aparecem como segundo destino preferencial, beneficiados por fluxos turísticos recordes e pela diversificação de cadeias logísticas regionais, seguidos pelo Cone Sul.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nEssa hierarquia de preferências revela uma mudança qualitativa na tese de investimento para a região. O capital não busca apenas retorno financeiro, como, também, exposição a tendências estruturais de longo prazo.\r\n\u003Ch2>Ativos industriais e logísticos aparecem no topo\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nO recorte por classe de ativos é onde o GRI Barometer traz os insights mais acionáveis para a tomada de decisão. O segmento industrial e logístico lidera com 40% dos votos como a classe com melhor retorno ajustado ao risco para o ciclo 2026-2027. A demanda por galpões logísticos de última milha, centros de distribuição e parques industriais de alto padrão continua superando a oferta em praticamente todos os mercados relevantes da América Latina.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nO segundo lugar, ocupado por data centers e infraestrutura digital, com 26% dos votos, merece atenção redobrada. A expansão acelerada de inteligência artificial generativa e computação em nuvem está criando uma demanda sem precedentes por capacidade de processamento localizada. Relatórios recentes da JLL e da CBRE apontam que a América Latina possui um déficit estrutural de capacidade instalada de data centers, com Brasil e México concentrando a maior parte dos projetos no horizonte, mas ainda distantes de atender a demanda projetada para os próximos cinco anos.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA hotelaria de luxo completa o pódio. Tarifas médias diárias (ADR) recordes em destinos como Cancún, Tulum, Cartagena e o litoral nordestino brasileiro sustentam retornos operacionais que atraem capital institucional para um segmento historicamente dominado por operadores independentes e family offices. A entrada de marcas globais de hospitalidade premium nesses mercados sinaliza uma institucionalização crescente do segmento.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_20266_2026_5_29_13_51_33_1780062693.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nEm contraste, chama atenção o posicionamento discreto de escritóriose varejo, com apenas 8%. O capital institucional está priorizando teses de crescimento estrutural, onde a demanda é impulsionada por forças macroeconômicas e tecnológicas de longo prazo, em detrimento de segmentos mais tradicionais. Já o baixo apetite por projetos multifamily está menos relacionado aos fundamentos, isto é, há demanda e oportunidades, mas o segmento ainda é bastante incipiente na América Latina. \r\n\u003Ch2>Regulação e política são os maiores desafios\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nSe o otimismo marca a leitura do ciclo e a seleção de ativos, a sobriedade retorna quando os executivos avaliam os obstáculos para escalar plataformas de investimento na região. A incerteza política e regulatória foi apontada por 45% dos participantes como o maior entrave - quase o dobro do segundo colocado.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nMudanças recentes em marcos regulatórios de uso do solo no México, discussões sobre tributação de fundos imobiliários no Brasil e instabilidade institucional em mercados andinos compõem um cenário onde o risco regulatório pode corroer retornos projetados de forma imprevisível. Para investidores institucionais que operam com horizontes de sete a dez anos e necessitam de previsibilidade jurídica para estruturar veículos de investimento, essa variável é determinante.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nO alto custo de dívida e a falta de liquidez e opções de saída de grau institucional, ambos com 25%, completam o quadro de preocupações. A combinação desses três fatores explica por que, apesar do otimismo com o ciclo, a alocação efetiva de capital na região ainda não atingiu seu potencial.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_20265_2026_5_29_13_51_33_1780062693.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>\r\n\u003Ch2>ESG divide opinições e aplicação de IA ainda é incipiente\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nA pesquisa revela uma polarização no campo da resiliência climática. Um terço dos executivos já a considera requisito obrigatório para qualquer nova alocação de capital. Outro terço a classifica como secundária em relação aos retornos financeiros, embora reconheça sua relevância crescente para a estratégia de saída.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nÉ justamente no desinvestimento que reside o ponto de inflexão. Ativos sem certificações ambientais ou sem resiliência comprovada a eventos climáticos extremos enfrentarão desconto crescente no mercado secundário. Para quem estrutura investimentos com horizonte de desinvestimento em cinco a sete anos, ignorar esse mandato hoje significa aceitar um risco de liquidez amanhã.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_20264_2026_5_29_13_51_33_1780062693.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA integração de inteligência artificial na gestão de ativos está em estágio claramente experimental. Mais da metade dos respondentes (55%) testa ferramentas de IA para funções específicas como locação e avaliação de ativos, mas nenhum participante declarou ter IA plenamente integrada em manutenção preditiva e gestão de receita. Esse dado indica que, apesar do entusiasmo com a tecnologia, a implementação operacional ainda enfrenta barreiras significativas, como qualidade de dados, integração de sistemas legados e escassez de talento especializado.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_20263_2026_5_29_13_51_34_1780062694.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>\r\n\u003Ch2>Quais fatores terão maior impacto nos próximos 10 anos?\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nDuas transformações receberam votação idêntica de 42%: a ascensão de data centers e infraestrutura de IA como principal classe de ativo comercial, superando escritórios; e a maturação de REITs regionais - FIIs no Brasil e FIBRAs no México - como veículos dominantes de propriedade imobiliária na região.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_2026_2026_5_29_13_51_34_1780062694.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA primeira projeção implica uma reconfiguração profunda do mercado. Se os data centers efetivamente superarem os escritórios como classe dominante, o perfil de investidor, a estrutura de financiamento e os critérios de localização do real estate comercial latino-americano mudarão fundamentalmente. Proximidade a fontes de energia renovável, disponibilidade de fibra óptica e estabilidade de rede elétrica passarão a competir com localização urbana e acessibilidade de transporte como critérios primários de seleção de terrenos.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA segunda projeção é igualmente transformadora. A institucionalização da propriedade imobiliária por meio de veículos listados ampliaria a base de investidores, melhoraria a liquidez de saída e criaria referências de preço mais transparentes. A fluidez dos mercados de capitais regionais e o protagonismo de cidades secundárias completam o quadro, sinalizando um futuro onde o real estate latino-americano será moldado por três forças convergentes: tecnologia, institucionalização e descentralização geográfica.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nPor fim, a criação de parcerias escaláveis com empresas locais estabelecidas é apontada como o principal driver para a alocação de capital estrangeiro na América Latina, o que se explica pelas particularidades regulatórias de cada país - e de cada jurisdição dentro de um único país - e pela necessidade de lançar produtos aderentes ao perfil da demanda.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002FBarometer_Survey_NY_Latin_America_GRI_Real_Estate_20262_2026_5_29_13_51_34_1780062694.jpg\" style=\"width:100%\" \u002F>","\u003Cul>\r\n\t\u003Cli>O capital institucional migra para teses estruturais: industrial e logística (40%) e data centers (26%) concentram dois terços das expectativas de melhor retorno ajustado ao risco para 2026-2027, enquanto escritórios e varejo perdem protagonismo na alocação de portfólio.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>O México consolida posição de destino preferencial de capital nos próximos 12 a 24 meses, impulsionado pelo nearshoring industrial, enquanto a incerteza política e regulatória (45%) permanece como o principal obstáculo para escalar plataformas de investimento na região.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>Olhando para 2036, 42% dos executivos apostam na maturação de REITs regionais (FIIs e FIBRAs) como veículos dominantes de propriedade, sinalizando um futuro moldado institucionalização e descentralização geográfica.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\n","GRI Barometer 1º semestre - América Latina","barômetro, pesquisa, tendências","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F00_Barometer_Latam_GRI_Social_2026_5_29_11_19_20_1780064360.jpg","2026-05-29T10:57:51.000Z","2026-05-29T18:43:50.000Z",{"code":18},{"id":25,"color":27,"translations":1473},[1474,1476,1478],{"title":26,"slug":30,"language":1475},{"code":13},{"title":37,"slug":38,"language":1477},{"code":18},{"title":33,"slug":34,"language":1479},{"code":23},[1481,1489,1497,1505,1513,1521,1529,1537],{"id":47,"label":1297,"translations":1482},[1483,1485,1487],{"label":1297,"slug":1308,"language":1484},{"code":13},{"label":1311,"slug":1312,"language":1486},{"code":18},{"label":1315,"slug":1316,"language":1488},{"code":23},{"id":25,"label":1275,"translations":1490},[1491,1493,1495],{"label":1275,"slug":1286,"language":1492},{"code":13},{"label":1289,"slug":1290,"language":1494},{"code":18},{"label":1293,"slug":1294,"language":1496},{"code":23},{"id":5,"label":1319,"translations":1498},[1499,1501,1503],{"label":1319,"slug":1330,"language":1500},{"code":13},{"label":1319,"slug":1330,"language":1502},{"code":18},{"label":1319,"slug":1330,"language":1504},{"code":23},{"id":49,"label":1209,"translations":1506},[1507,1509,1511],{"label":1209,"slug":1220,"language":1508},{"code":13},{"label":1223,"slug":1224,"language":1510},{"code":18},{"label":1227,"slug":1228,"language":1512},{"code":23},{"id":85,"label":1187,"translations":1514},[1515,1517,1519],{"label":1187,"slug":1198,"language":1516},{"code":13},{"label":1201,"slug":1202,"language":1518},{"code":18},{"label":1205,"slug":1206,"language":1520},{"code":23},{"id":97,"label":1029,"translations":1522},[1523,1525,1527],{"label":1029,"slug":1040,"language":1524},{"code":13},{"label":1043,"slug":1044,"language":1526},{"code":18},{"label":1047,"slug":1048,"language":1528},{"code":23},{"id":136,"label":1051,"translations":1530},[1531,1533,1535],{"label":1051,"slug":1062,"language":1532},{"code":13},{"label":1065,"slug":1066,"language":1534},{"code":18},{"label":1069,"slug":1070,"language":1536},{"code":23},{"id":212,"label":966,"translations":1538},[1539,1541,1543],{"label":977,"slug":978,"language":1540},{"code":13},{"label":981,"slug":978,"language":1542},{"code":18},{"label":981,"slug":978,"language":1544},{"code":23},[1546,1548,1550,1553,1555],{"name":171,"enName":171,"ptName":171,"iso2":1547},"BR",{"name":220,"enName":220,"ptName":220,"iso2":1549},"CL",{"name":233,"enName":233,"ptName":1551,"iso2":1552},"Colômbia","CO",{"name":567,"enName":567,"ptName":567,"iso2":1554},"MX",{"name":676,"enName":676,"ptName":676,"iso2":1556},"PE",[1558],{"name":1559,"slug":1560,"image":1561,"order":115},"Henrique Cisman","henrique-cisman","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews_author\u002FHenrique_Marcal_Cisman_GRI_Institute_Profile_PIC_2025_11_04_11_31_12_1762266672.jpg",{"pt-BR":1563},"\u002Fmercado-imobiliario\u002Fgri-barometer-s1-america-latina",[1565,1566,1567,1568,1569,1570],"Infra Brazil","Infra Latam","Real Estate Brazil","Real Estate Europe","Real Estate India","Real Estate Latam"]