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Especialistas descartam possibilidade",false,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002Fresidential_top_2021_7_22_11_14_13_1626963253.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002Fresidential_cover_2021_7_22_11_14_13_1626963253.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002Fresidential_slider_2021_7_22_11_14_13_1626963253.jpg","2021-07-22T00:00:00.000Z","Crédito: twenty20photos \u002F Envato","#FFFFFF","Bolha imobiliária global?","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002Fresidential_social_2021_7_22_11_14_13_1626963253.jpg","2021-07-22T11:14:13.000Z","2024-05-28T16:01:28.000Z",[1463],{"id":1464,"newsId":1447,"languageId":25,"title":1450,"subtitle":1465,"content":1466,"summary":8,"takeaways":8,"seoTagConversionId":8,"seoTag":8,"seoTitle":8,"seoKeywords":8,"seoDescription":8,"seoAbstract":8,"seoImage":8,"createdAt":1467,"updatedAt":1468,"language":1469},1723,"Risco é ainda menor no Brasil em função das regulamentações","\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"color:null\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Com base em dados da Bloomberg, um relatório de autoria do economista Niraj Shah alerta para o risco de uma nova bolha imobiliária com impacto global, assim como ocorreu na recessão de 2008. “O extraordinário estímulo que ajudou a colocar a economia global em pé está alimentando um novo problema”, afirma, referindo-se à possibilidade.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Analisando cinco variáveis diferentes - a relação entre os preços dos imóveis e o valor dos aluguéis, a relação entre os preços dos imóveis e a renda, o crescimento real dos preços, o crescimento nominal dos preços e o crescimento do crédito em termos anuais -, o estudo indica que há alguns países mais propensos ao estouro de uma bolha: \u003C\u002Fspan>Nova Zelândia, Canadá, Suécia, Reino Unido, Estados Unidos, Noruega e Dinamarca. \u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nPor mais que o setor imobiliário global realmente tenha esquentado durante a pandemia em função da valorização da moradia no cenário de isolamento social e dos estímulos monetários, especialistas desacreditam na hipótese levantada pelo relatório. A principal justificativa se baseia na atual conjuntura do mercado estadunidense, aquele com maior influência na economia mundial, vide a crise de 2008.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n"Os preços das casas nos Estados Unidos subiram recentemente porque os compradores estão atrás do mesmo tipo de ativo, o que gera um desequilíbrio entre oferta e demanda. Não é como na recessão de 2008, quando empréstimos irresponsáveis levaram a uma especulação imobiliária mentirosa", diz \u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"10867\">Randall Loker\u003C\u002Fspan>, CIO da Paladin Realty Partners.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n"Naquela oportunidade, os bancos norte-americanos começaram a fornecer crédito imobiliário para pessoas que certamente teriam dificuldades para pagar o imóvel [\u003Cem>subprime lending\u003C\u002Fem>]. A procura por casas explodiu e, quando a bolha estourou, o prejuízo foi enorme para as instituições financeiras", acrescenta \u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"4950\">Celina Antunes\u003C\u002Fspan>, CEO da Cushman & Wakefield South America.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA executiva, que tem contato direto com a divisão da empresa nos Estados Unidos, reforça que não existe esse temor entre os especialistas porque o mercado financeiro do país aprendeu 'algumas lições' na última recessão e tem tido uma postura mais conservadora na concessão de crédito imobiliário.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nEm sintonia, Loker garante que, atualmente, não existem mais modalidades com 90% ou até 100% de financiamento do imóvel, como havia na época. De qualquer modo, o executivo entende que o preço das casas excedendo o crescimento salarial da população por uma ampla margem "não é um movimento de mercado saudável". \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\r\n\u003Ch3>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size:18px\">Mercado brasileiro\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\n\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"color:null\">Se o risco de bolha imobiliária nos Estados Unidos é remoto para os especialistas, no Brasil ele é ainda mais improvável. Segundo \u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"12416\">Rodrigo Tambuque\u003C\u002Fspan>, sócio do escritório Chodraui & Tambuque Advogados, o ordenamento jurídico e os sistemas financeiro e bancário brasileiros são muito mais centralizados do que os norte-americanos.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n"Aqui não temos uma desregulamentação financeira como, de certa maneira, ainda há no mercado estadunidense. Em 2008, por exemplo, o presidente do \u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Federal Reserve Board (FED), o banco central norte-americano, não\u003C\u002Fspan> reagiu aos primeiros sinais de que haveria uma crise por acreditar que o mercado fosse se regular sozinho. Trata-se historicamente do padrão americano de intervenção mínima do Estado na economia", afirma. \u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Para ilustrar a diferença, o executivo lembra que, enquanto os Estados Unidos forneciam crédito barato para a compra de imóveis e geravam uma crise global em 2008, o Brasil se preparava para lançar o programa habitacional Minha Casa, Minha Vida. "Aqui os imóveis são vendidos para quem efetivamente tem capacidade financeira ou com subsídio do governo", complementa Tambuque.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Vale lembrar que o Brasil também vive um gradual aumento no preço dos imóveis residenciais, motivado pelo aumento do custo de construção e da demanda. Além da valorização da moradia na pandemia, "muitos brasileiros estão procurando uma reserva de valor neste momento de baixas taxas de juros", esclarece Loker.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Os fundamentos sólidos por trás da elevação dos preços dos imóveis, assim como o enorme déficit habitacional do Brasil, são fatores que reduzem a especulação de uma possível bolha imobiliária no país. Tambuque, inclusive, cita que há estudos indicando que, em muitas praças, ainda há margem para uma valorização maior dos ativos.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nEm resumo, os especialistas elogiam a capacidade do arcabouço jurídico e das regulamentações financeiras do Brasil de equilibrar oferta e demanda no mercado imobiliário. "Temos coisas muito boas, mas nem sempre as valorizamos", analisa Tambuque. Já \u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"4950\">Celina Antunes\u003C\u002Fspan> lembra que o Brasil foi pouco afetado pela crise econômica de 2008, quando comparado ao restante do mundo: "O país estava superprotegido".\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\r\n\u003Ch3>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size:18px\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Mercado latinoamericano\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\n\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"color:null\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">No restante da América Latina, onde Paladin e Cushman & Wakefield também atuam, a possibilidade de bolha imobiliária é igualmente pequena, segundo os representantes das empresas. Entretanto, isso não significa que outros países da América Latina não estejam vivenciando um aquecimento da atividade imobiliária.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">"No México, as moradias de baixa renda estão performando muito bem", revela Loker, que salienta também o bom momento do mercado colombiano. O principal destaque negativo, por sua vez, é a Argentina, que passa por uma profunda crise econômica. "O setor imobiliário argentino está congelado", finaliza Antunes.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cspan style=\"color:#6b6b6b\">Por \u003Cstrong>Daniel Caravetti\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n","2021-07-22T11:14:34.000Z","2021-07-22T12:49:28.000Z",{"code":18},{"id":25,"color":27,"translations":1471},[1472,1474,1476],{"title":26,"slug":30,"language":1473},{"code":13},{"title":37,"slug":38,"language":1475},{"code":18},{"title":33,"slug":34,"language":1477},{"code":23},[1479,1487],{"id":47,"label":1297,"translations":1480},[1481,1483,1485],{"label":1297,"slug":1308,"language":1482},{"code":13},{"label":1311,"slug":1312,"language":1484},{"code":18},{"label":1315,"slug":1316,"language":1486},{"code":23},{"id":65,"label":1231,"translations":1488},[1489,1491,1493],{"label":1231,"slug":1242,"language":1490},{"code":13},{"label":1245,"slug":1246,"language":1492},{"code":18},{"label":1249,"slug":1250,"language":1494},{"code":23},[1496],{"name":171,"enName":171,"ptName":171,"iso2":1497},"BR",[],{"pt-BR":1500},"\u002Fmercado-imobiliario\u002Fbolha-imobiliaria-global-especialistas-descartam-possibilidade_1570",[1502,1503,1504,1505,1506,1507],"Infra Brazil","Infra Latam","Real Estate Brazil","Real Estate Europe","Real Estate India","Real Estate Latam"]