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econômica",false,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F1920x1080_px_Top_[6]_2024_11_04_11_49_20_1730731760.webp","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F600x600_px_Cover_[9]_2024_11_04_11_49_20_1730731760.webp","2024-11-04T00:00:00.000Z","Credit: Divulgação ","#FFFFFF","2024-11-09T00:00:00.000Z","2024-11-04T11:49:20.000Z","2025-11-14T09:11:04.000Z",[1461],{"id":1462,"newsId":1447,"languageId":25,"title":1450,"subtitle":1463,"content":1464,"summary":978,"takeaways":978,"seoTagConversionId":1465,"seoTag":1466,"seoTitle":1467,"seoKeywords":1466,"seoDescription":1468,"seoAbstract":978,"seoImage":1469,"createdAt":1470,"updatedAt":1471,"language":1472},2505,"Em entrevista ao GRI Club, a agência explica a avaliação do Brasil e traz insights para o cenário financeiro da infraestrutura","A recente decisão da Moody's de elevar a nota de crédito do Brasil de Ba2 para Ba1, aproximando o país do cobiçado grau de investimento, traz uma série de questionamentos sobre o futuro da economia brasileira e seu apelo junto aos investidores internacionais. A agência de classificação creditícia destaca que a melhoria da nota reflete uma expectativa de crescimento econômico mais robusto, impulsionado por um histórico recente de reformas econômicas e fiscais que conferem resiliência ao perfil de crédito do país.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cem>“Os avanços que o Brasil demonstrou, principalmente em termos de crescimento e resiliência fiscal, nos dão uma perspectiva positiva. Esse crescimento - que surpreendeu positivamente - é atribuído a uma combinação de fatores cíclicos e às reformas econômicas e fiscais”\u003C\u002Fem> - afirma Mark E. Almeida, presidente da Moody's. Para a agência, o cumprimento rigoroso do quadro fiscal é fundamental para estabilizar a dívida e manter a confiança do mercado.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nApesar da elevação da nota, a Moody’s ressalta que o custo elevado da dívida pública e a credibilidade limitada do quadro fiscal ainda representam desafios. No médio prazo, o cumprimento contínuo do quadro fiscal é essencial para que o ônus da dívida se estabilize, elevando a confiança do mercado. Medidas para flexibilizar os gastos públicos e implementar reformas fiscais estruturais de controle de gastos obrigatórios são vistas como indispensáveis para a manutenção e potencial elevação adicional da nota de crédito. Como a agência afirma, “a eficácia das políticas públicas e a credibilidade das instituições podem se refletir em prêmios de risco mais baixos e uma dinâmica de dívida mais favorável”.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nOutro ponto de atenção é a taxa básica de juros, que se manterá elevada até o final de 2024. A Moody's avalia que esse panorama impacta principalmente setores dependentes do mercado interno e de financiamento, limitando a acessibilidade da dívida. O Banco Central subiu a Selic a 10,75% na última reunião, mas o cenário de subida de juros permanece até 2026. Em contrapartida, o ciclo de redução da taxa de juros nos EUA poderá estimular o fluxo de capital externo, fortalecendo os mercados de capitais no Brasil.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nPara setores emergentes, como o de data centers, que dependem de infraestrutura energética, a Moody 's vê o Brasil como um destino atrativo. O país possui uma matriz energética diversificada e uma oferta de eletricidade renovável relativamente barata, fatores que atraem investimentos na área de tecnologia. \u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nNo entanto, a agência destaca a necessidade de expansão da infraestrutura elétrica, em especial no Nordeste, onde a alta concentração de projetos eólicos e solares enfrenta limitações de escoamento na rede de transmissão. \u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cem>“É essencial que o Brasil renove seu compromisso com a infraestrutura energética para sustentar esse desenvolvimento tecnológico e atender à crescente demanda”\u003C\u002Fem> alerta a agência. \u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nAlém da energia, o setor de saneamento básico também se mostra promissor, especialmente com o novo marco regulatório, que estabelece metas de universalização até 2033.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA agência aponta que a universalização do acesso a água e esgoto é uma oportunidade de investimento com forte atratividade para o capital privado. Com apoio do BNDES, leilões bilionários estão previstos em estados como Pará e Pernambuco, visando a ampliação dos serviços de água e esgoto. A privatização da Sabesp é outro bom exemplo.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nSegundo a Moody’s, o setor possui estabilidade regulatória, o que facilita o financiamento de longo prazo e mantém a demanda inelástica. No entanto, a alta alavancagem de algumas empresas do setor devido aos investimentos intensivos levanta um alerta sobre a necessidade de políticas de liquidez sólidas.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nCom os avanços nas reformas e a consolidação de um cenário fiscal mais estável, a Moody's acredita que o Brasil tem a chance de avançar na confiança dos investidores e reduzir o custo de sua dívida. Contudo, a agência reforça que a trajetória da nota de crédito dependerá da capacidade do país de demonstrar compromisso contínuo com as reformas fiscais e de infraestrutura. \u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nA perspectiva positiva está, portanto, condicionada a um cenário de estabilidade e disciplina, que permitirão ao país não apenas reduzir riscos, mas também conquistar confiança internacional e alcançar a estabilidade econômica. ","Artigo ","#calificacaoderisco \r\n#moodys \r\n#griclub\r\n#infraestrutura \r\n#risco \r\n#economia ","Moody's avalia risco e sugere caminhos para estabilidade","Em entrevista ao GRI Club, a agência explica sua avaliação do Brasil e traz insights para o cenário financeiro da infraestrutura no país ","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002FSocial_Previa_[5]_2024_11_04_11_53_39_1730732019.jpg","2024-11-04T11:50:20.000Z","2025-11-14T09:11:11.000Z",{"code":18},{"id":5,"color":7,"translations":1474},[1475,1477,1479],{"title":6,"slug":11,"language":1476},{"code":13},{"title":15,"slug":16,"language":1478},{"code":18},{"title":20,"slug":21,"language":1480},{"code":23},[1482],{"id":136,"label":1051,"translations":1483},[1484,1486,1488],{"label":1051,"slug":1062,"language":1485},{"code":13},{"label":1065,"slug":1066,"language":1487},{"code":18},{"label":1069,"slug":1070,"language":1489},{"code":23},[1491],{"name":171,"enName":171,"ptName":171,"iso2":1492},"BR",[1494],{"name":1495,"slug":1496,"image":1497,"order":115},"Belén Palkovsky","belen-palkovsky","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews_author\u002F080A1419_2025_11_04_11_24_07_1762266247.jpg",{"pt-BR":1499},"\u002Finfraestrutura\u002Fmoodys-avalia-risco-de-credito-e-aponta-caminhos-para-a-estabilidade-economica",[1501,1502,1503,1504,1505,1506],"Infra Brazil","Infra Latam","Real Estate Brazil","Real Estate Europe","Real Estate India","Real Estate Latam"]