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2026",false,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F00_FR_RT_Hub_Slider_2026_1_19_12_51_09_1768837869.webp","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F00_FR_RT_Hub_Cover_2026_1_19_12_51_09_1768837869.webp","2026-01-19T00:00:00.000Z","Credit: GRI Institute","#FFFFFF","2026-01-27T00:00:00.000Z",1943,"2026-01-19T12:51:09.000Z","2026-01-19T13:17:20.000Z",[1462],{"id":1463,"newsId":1447,"languageId":47,"title":1450,"subtitle":1464,"content":1465,"summary":978,"takeaways":1466,"seoTagConversionId":8,"seoTag":8,"seoTitle":1467,"seoKeywords":1468,"seoDescription":1469,"seoAbstract":8,"seoImage":1470,"createdAt":1471,"updatedAt":1472,"language":1473},3054,"Real estate investment recovery and the \"new norm\" for offices at GRI Institute’s annual Coup d’envoi du Marché Immobilier 2026","2026 is expected to be a pivotal year of stabilisation and strategic restructuring for the \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnews.griinstitute.org\u002Fen\u002Freal-estate\u002F2026-european-real-estate-analysis-multi-market-guide\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cstrong>French real estate market\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nDuring the \u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"1\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"20971\">GRI Institute\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>’s annual \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fgatherings?region=2\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cstrong>Coup d’envoi du Marché Immobilier 2026\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>, hosted in partnership with \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcms-francis-lefebvre-paris_293\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cstrong>CMS\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa> and \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcolliers-international-france_14568\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cstrong>Colliers\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>, in-depth market analysis presented by \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fludovic-delaisse_42727\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"42727\">Ludovic Delaisse\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>, General Manager at Colliers, provided a data-driven roadmap for 2026, revealing a market that is moving away from the post-pandemic shock towards a new, more selective norm.\r\n\u003Ch3>Macro-Economic Foundations: Growth Amidst Resistance\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\nDespite a globally sluggish economic backdrop, the French market shows signs of resilience through its persistent, albeit modest, growth.\r\n\r\n\u003Cul>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>GDP Growth\u003C\u002Fstrong>: Forecasted at 1.0% for 2026, a slight uptick from the 0.9% expected in 2025.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Inflation\u003C\u002Fstrong>: After a peak in 2024, inflation is expected to stabilise at 1.5% in 2026.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Employment\u003C\u002Fstrong>: Despite an increase in corporate insolvencies, the job market remains a bulwark, with more than 33,000 salaried job creations projected for 2026.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\n\r\n\u003Ch3>The Rental Market: A "New Norm" for Offices\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\nThe Île-de-France (IDF) office rental market is shifting towards a "new norm" where demand is stabilising at lower volumes than the historical averages of the 2010s.\r\n\r\n\u003Cul>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Take-up\u003C\u002Fstrong>: The market saw a 9% decrease in total take-up, reaching approximately 1.64 million square metres.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Supply vs. Demand\u003C\u002Fstrong>: Available supply has surged by 130% since 2019, while take-up has dropped by 31% over the same period.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Geographic Divergence\u003C\u002Fstrong>: Paris remains the crown jewel, with the CBD (Quartier central des affaires) and other Paris sectors accounting for a massive share of activity, while peripheral areas, such as the Deuxième Couronne, face sharper declines.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\nThe \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnews.griinstitute.org\u002Fen\u002Freal-estate\u002Fjll-transformation-des-bureaux-volet-2\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cstrong>shift in the office rental market\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa> is defined by a fundamental restructuring of how companies perceive and utilise physical space. Evolving organisational practices, such as the formalisation of return-to-office policies, are effectively signalling an end to the trend of continuous surface area reduction.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nHowever, this stabilisation comes with a strategic trade-off; as companies prioritise cost reduction, the market is witnessing a significant geographic reorientation as occupiers seek more competitive financial terms outside of traditional hubs.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nFurthermore, the "new office" paradigm is creating a stark divide between modern requirements and existing stock. There is currently a major inadequacy in current supply, which places the burden of transformation on landlords to adapt buildings to meet the dual challenges of user ESG requirements and new spatial organisations influenced by AI and teleworking policies.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThis shift is occurring within an economic environment where a resilient job market is beginning to reduce the "attractiveness" pressure on offices, forcing a deeper reflection on how the necessary green transitions and building modernisations will be financed in the years ahead.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cimg alt=\"A wide shot of a French real estate conference. A presenter stands at the front of a wood-paneled room next to a projection screen titled "Marché Locatif" (Rental Market). The audience, seen from behind, listens as the presentation outlines structural elements of the market, including "L'environnement économique" and "Les évolutions des pratiques."\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Ffiles\u002F01_FR_RT_Hub_Body_2026_1_19_15_49_47_1768837787.webp\" \u002F>\r\n\u003Cdiv style=\"text-align:center\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size:12px\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"42727\">Ludovic Delaisse\u003C\u002Fspan>, Directeur Général at Colliers, presented the French economic and real estate outlook for 2026 at Coup d’envoi du Marché Immobilier 2026 in Paris. (Credit: \u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"1\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"20971\">GRI Institute\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>)\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fdiv>\r\n\r\n\u003Ch3>Investment Trends: The Return of Selective Capital\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\nThe investment landscape is seeing a very gradual recovery, with a total volume of EUR 13.7 billion in 2025, up 8% from the previous year.\r\n\r\n\u003Cul>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Sector Winners\u003C\u002Fstrong>: Offices saw a 31% rebound in investment volume, reaching EUR 6.8 billion, while logistics saw a 17% dip.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Yield Compression & Expansion\u003C\u002Fstrong>: Prime yields in the Paris CBD are hovering around 4.25%, but a weak risk premium - the narrow gap between real estate yields and risk-free rates (OAT 10-year) - is currently hindering market fluidity.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Financing Gap\u003C\u002Fstrong>: A significant challenge for 2026 is the estimated 20% \u003Cu>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnews.griinstitute.org\u002Fen\u002Freal-estate\u002Fthe-new-paradigm-of-real-estate-debt-in-europe\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cstrong>financing gap on expiring debt\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fu>, which may trigger forced sales or require significant equity injections.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\n\r\n\u003Ch3>Future Outlook\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\nAs we look ahead, a steady rise in CRE investment volumes is projected, potentially reaching EUR 17 billion in 2027 as price adjustments settle and investors regain confidence.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThe current investment market is being shaped by four critical drivers that dictate how capital flows and how assets are valued. Central to this shift is ongoing price adjustment, which is essential for the reconstitution of the risk premium.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nAs prices recalibrate to reflect the current economic reality, the potential for higher returns begins to outweigh the inherent risks, creating a more sustainable foundation for future growth.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nComplementing this pricing shift is the need for fiscal stability; when tax frameworks remain predictable and competitive, it restores investor confidence and brings institutional players back to the table.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nBeyond pricing and policy, the technical mechanics of the market - specifically yield decompression and debt structures - are driving significant movement. The decompression of yields is making real estate increasingly attractive relative to other asset classes, effectively signalling a return of capital to the sector.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nHowever, this recovery is tempered by the pressures of the debt market. As refinancing options become increasingly limited due to tighter credit conditions, the market is seeing a rise in forced sales. While these liquidations can be disruptive, they often provide the necessary liquidity and entry points for new investors looking to capitalise on the market's broader reset.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n2026 will be the year of active transformation. Investors are no longer just reacting to market movements; they are shaping a new cycle based on realistic pricing and sustainable standards.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n \r\n\u003Chr \u002F> \r\n\u003Cp dir=\"ltr\">\u003Cem>These insights were shared by \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fludovic-delaisse_42727\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"42727\">Ludovic Delaisse\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcolliers-international-france_14568\" target=\"_blank\">Colliers\u003C\u002Fa>) during \u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"1\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"20971\">GRI Institute\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>’s \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fevent\u002Fcoup-denvoi-du-marche-immobilier-2026_5297\" target=\"_blank\">Coup d’envoi du Marché Immobilier 2026\u003C\u002Fa> roundtable, with participation from \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fbenjamin-bill_5566\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"5566\">Benjamin Bill\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcms-francis-lefebvre-paris_293\" target=\"_blank\">CMS Francis Lefebvre\u003C\u002Fa>), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fflorence-cherel_10657\" target=\"_blank\">Florence Chérel\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcms-francis-lefebvre-paris_293\" target=\"_blank\">CMS Francis Lefebvre\u003C\u002Fa>), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Ffloriane-menguy_37473\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"37473\">Floriane Menguy\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fblackrock-france_1597\" target=\"_blank\">BlackRock\u003C\u002Fa>), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Ffrancois-le-levier_50328\" target=\"_blank\">François Le Levier\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fwdp-france_23391\" target=\"_blank\">WDP\u003C\u002Fa>), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fmarc-olivier-assouline_38256\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"9879\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"38256\">Marc-Olivier Assouline\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcolumbia-threadneedle-real-estate-partners_17742\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"23417\">Columbia Threadneedle\u003C\u002Fspan> Investments\u003C\u002Fa>), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fnicolas-biganzoli_46426\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"46426\">Nicolas Biganzoli\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fnuveen-real-estate-france_13043\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"12293\">Nuveen Real Estate\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fphilippe-cervesi_24114\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"24114\">Philippe Cervesi\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcorum-asset-management-france_12000\" target=\"_blank\">Corum Asset Management\u003C\u002Fa>), Rodrigo Clare (Altarea), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fsandrine-amsili_3907\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"3907\">Sandrine Amsili\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fardian-france_3977\" target=\"_blank\">Ardian\u003C\u002Fa>), \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fsebastien-masson_42459\" target=\"_blank\">Sébastien Masson\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcolliers-international-france_14568\" target=\"_blank\">Colliers\u003C\u002Fa>), and \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Feurope\u002Fvincent-sade_39416\" target=\"_blank\">Vincent Sadé\u003C\u002Fa> (\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fprologis-france_11572\" target=\"_blank\">Prologis\u003C\u002Fa>).\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cem>Special thank you to the sponsors of Coup d’envoi du Marché Immobilier 2026: \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcolliers-international-france_14568\" target=\"_blank\">Colliers\u003C\u002Fa> and \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fcms-francis-lefebvre-paris_293\" target=\"_blank\">CMS\u003C\u002Fa>.\u003C\u002Fem>","\u003Cul>\r\n\t\u003Cli>The French real estate market is transitioning to a "new norm" as CRE investment volumes slowly tick up and are expected to reach EUR 17 billion in 2027.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>Office demand is polarising, with a sharp divide between high-demand Paris CBD assets and peripheral areas facing supply gluts.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>Investment is rebounding gradually, though a 20% financing gap on expiring debt remains a critical challenge for 2026.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\n","French Real Estate Market Outlook 2026","gri institute, real estate, europe, investment, France, Paris, offices, commercial real estate, colliers, cms, strategy, ile de paris, esg, demand, supply, economy, gdp, growth, inflation, interest rates, investment volume, vacancy, debt, refinancing","Explore the 2026 French real estate outlook: insights on market stabilisation, Paris office trends, investment recovery, and the critical 20% financing gap.","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F00_FR_RT_Hub_Social_2026_1_19_12_54_03_1768838043.jpg","2026-01-19T12:51:12.000Z","2026-01-21T16:15:45.000Z",{"code":13},{"id":25,"color":27,"translations":1475},[1476,1478,1480],{"title":26,"slug":30,"language":1477},{"code":13},{"title":37,"slug":38,"language":1479},{"code":18},{"title":33,"slug":34,"language":1481},{"code":23},[1483,1491,1499,1507,1515,1523],{"id":25,"label":1275,"translations":1484},[1485,1487,1489],{"label":1275,"slug":1286,"language":1486},{"code":13},{"label":1289,"slug":1290,"language":1488},{"code":18},{"label":1293,"slug":1294,"language":1490},{"code":23},{"id":49,"label":1209,"translations":1492},[1493,1495,1497],{"label":1209,"slug":1220,"language":1494},{"code":13},{"label":1223,"slug":1224,"language":1496},{"code":18},{"label":1227,"slug":1228,"language":1498},{"code":23},{"id":65,"label":1231,"translations":1500},[1501,1503,1505],{"label":1231,"slug":1242,"language":1502},{"code":13},{"label":1245,"slug":1246,"language":1504},{"code":18},{"label":1249,"slug":1250,"language":1506},{"code":23},{"id":97,"label":1029,"translations":1508},[1509,1511,1513],{"label":1029,"slug":1040,"language":1510},{"code":13},{"label":1043,"slug":1044,"language":1512},{"code":18},{"label":1047,"slug":1048,"language":1514},{"code":23},{"id":93,"label":1253,"translations":1516},[1517,1519,1521],{"label":1253,"slug":1264,"language":1518},{"code":13},{"label":1267,"slug":1268,"language":1520},{"code":18},{"label":1271,"slug":1272,"language":1522},{"code":23},{"id":136,"label":1051,"translations":1524},[1525,1527,1529],{"label":1051,"slug":1062,"language":1526},{"code":13},{"label":1065,"slug":1066,"language":1528},{"code":18},{"label":1069,"slug":1070,"language":1530},{"code":23},[1532],{"name":336,"enName":336,"ptName":336,"iso2":1533},"FR",[1535],{"name":1536,"slug":1537,"image":1538,"order":115},"Helen Richards","helen-richards","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews_author\u002FHelen_Richards_GRI_Institute_Profile_Pic_2025_11_04_10_50_11_1762264211.jpg",{"en":1540},"\u002Freal-estate\u002Ffrench-real-estate-outlook-2026-coup-denvoi-du-marche-immobilier-2026",[1542,1543,1544,1545,1546,1547],"Infra Brazil","Infra Latam","Real Estate Brazil","Real Estate Europe","Real Estate India","Real Estate Latam"]