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estate",false,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F1859x559_px_Top_2025_11_14_11_34_33_1763130873.webp","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F1920x1080_px_Cover_2025_11_14_11_34_33_1763130873.webp","2025-11-14T00:00:00.000Z","Freepik","#555555","2025-11-21T00:00:00.000Z",580,"2025-11-14T11:34:33.000Z","2025-11-14T11:39:48.000Z",[1462],{"id":1463,"newsId":1447,"languageId":47,"title":1450,"subtitle":1464,"content":1465,"summary":978,"takeaways":1466,"seoTagConversionId":8,"seoTag":8,"seoTitle":1450,"seoKeywords":1467,"seoDescription":1468,"seoAbstract":8,"seoImage":1469,"createdAt":1470,"updatedAt":1471,"language":1472},2946,"Why fund managers now prefer structured debt over high-risk equity","In Indian residential real estate, the most attractive returns often hide the biggest risks. While sales are strong, experienced investors are focusing less on market highs and more on surviving operational lows. The single greatest threat to a project&#39;s profitability is not market demand, but the maze of approval risk.\r\n\u003Ch2>The approval risk problem\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nThe traditional model for real estate investment was pure equity at the land acquisition stage, a simple model designed to capture maximum appreciation.&nbsp;\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThis model is now seen as fundamentally challenged by many seasoned fund managers, with some funds having stopped pursuing pure equity in 2017 specifically because approval risk is the main destroyer of value.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nProject timelines are the real enemy of returns. Investors might see fantastic IRRs on paper the day they sign, but those returns can evaporate quickly. A delay of just six months has the potential to wipe out the projected gains.&nbsp;\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThis long-term uncertainty, where revenues are locked in but costs are not, makes the old equity model a massive gamble.\r\n\u003Ch2>The new investment playbook: Staged debt\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nWith pure equity now looking so precarious, funds are shifting their strategy to get exposure to the booming residential market. The solution is to move down the risk curve by staging their capital.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThis new playbook involves letting the developer take the initial high-risk gamble of land acquisition and approvals. The fund then enters as a more secure, strategic financier.&nbsp;\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThis approach changes the relationship from a high-risk partner to a finance provider, with returns directly linked to the project&#39;s actual stage of de-risking.\r\n\u003Ch2>How de-risking reshapes investor returns\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nThis risk-averse playbook naturally comes with a different and more predictable set of return expectations. This shift creates a clear framework for what investors should realistically target:\r\n\r\n\u003Cul>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Pure equity (the old way): \u003C\u002Fstrong>This high-risk play historically targeted returns upwards of 25 percent, but this is the very number that funds have seen evaporate.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Pure debt (approval-linked):\u003C\u002Fstrong> When providing debt capital that is linked to project approvals, the target is now in the 19-21% range.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>NCD transaction (post-approval):\u003C\u002Fstrong> This is seen as the safest and most preferred structure, where a non-convertible debenture (NCD) transaction post-approval targets a return between 14.5 and 15.5%.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\nThis entire shift is driven by the funds&#39; own investors, the family offices and institutions who are no longer chasing speculative IRRs. Instead, they are now seeking reliable, double-digit post-tax returns.&nbsp;\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nIndustry-wide, a 10-11% post-tax return is the expectation that must be met. These structured debt positions are how funds can reliably deliver on that promise.\r\n\u003Ch2>A more mature and aligned market\u003C\u002Fh2>\r\nThis move away from chasing 25-percent-plus IRRs is not a sign of a less profitable market, but rather a sign of a more mature and stable one.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThe new model creates a healthier, more aligned ecosystem. For capital to be secure, the developer must make money.&nbsp;\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nBy stepping away from the high-risk equity bet, investors de-risk their own position while ensuring the project is properly financed to completion - a true win-win for a growing market.\r\n\u003Chr \u002F>\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cem>These strategic insights were shared during the panel discussion on &quot;\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fgatherings?region=4&amp;_gl=1*1nzf82w*_gcl_au*MTQ5NjQ0Mzg2NC4xNzU3OTY1NTcz\" target=\"_blank\">Rethinking Residential Returns - Balancing Portfolios Across Ultra-Luxury, Aspirational, Mid-Income, and Affordable Housing\u003C\u002Fa>,&quot; at India GRI 2025.\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nThe session was moderated by \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Findia\u002Fsandeep-kotak_13538\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"13538\">Sandeep Kotak\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, MD &amp; CEO at \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fmango-advisors_9062\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"9062\">Mango Advisors\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, and featured reflections from leading experts including \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Findia\u002Fatul-bohra_27068\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"27068\">Atul Bohra\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, Group Chief Executive Officer at \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fkolte-patil-developers_1226\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"1226\">Kolte Patil Developers\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>; \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Findia\u002Fgopal-krishnan_47490\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"47490\">Gopal Krishnan\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, Executive Director &amp; CEO at \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fshriram-properties-limited_9388\" target=\"_blank\">Shriram Properties\u003C\u002Fa>; \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Findia\u002Flakshmipathi-chockalingam_43353\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"43353\">Lakshmipathi Chockalingam\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, Senior Managing Partner at \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fask-property-fund_2797\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"2797\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"20446\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"20927\">ASK Property Fund\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>; \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Findia\u002Fpavan-kumar_40532\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"40532\">Pavan Kumar\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, Founder &amp; CEO at \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fwhite-lotus-group_19293\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"19293\">White \u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"22769\">Lotus Group\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>; \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Findia\u002Froshan-banka_48036\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"48036\">Roshan Banka\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, Managing Director at \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fares-management_22538\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"company-profile-link\" data-id=\"22538\">Ares Management\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>; and \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fmember-profile\u002Findia\u002Fshailesh-puranik_9243\" target=\"_blank\">\u003Cspan class=\"data-profile-link\" data-id=\"9243\">Shailesh Puranik\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>, Chairman &amp; Managing Director at \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.griinstitute.org\u002Frealestate\u002Fcompany-profile\u002Fpuranik-builders-ltd_6742\" target=\"_blank\">Puranik Builders Ltd\u003C\u002Fa>..\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\n\u003Cbr \u002F>\r\nAccess all takeaways and C-level insights in the exclusive \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnews.griinstitute.org\u002Fen\u002Freal-estate\u002F6-key-real-estate-market-insights-from-india-gri-2025\" target=\"_blank\">India GRI 2025 Spotlight\u003C\u002Fa> report.\u003C\u002Fem>","\u003Cul>\r\n\t\u003Cli>The biggest threat to real estate returns is not market demand but the project approval maze, where a delay of just six months can make fantastic on-paper IRRs evaporate.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>Investors are increasingly avoiding high-risk pure equity, preferring to let developers handle the initial land and approval stages while they enter later as strategic financiers.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\t\u003Cli>This new risk-averse model creates a clear tier of return expectations, with high-risk equity targeting 25% or more, approval-linked debt aiming for 19-21%, and safer post-approval NCDs targeting 14.5-15.5%.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\n","gri institute, real estate, india, indian residential real estate, real estate investment, real estate finance, de-risking, approval risk, structured debt, pure equity, real estate returns, irr, non-convertible debentures, fund managers","Discover why investors are de-risking Indian residential real estate, moving from high-risk equity to structured debt to navigate approval risk and target new, tiered returns.","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews\u002F500x500_px_Social_2025_11_14_11_39_31_1763131171.jpg","2025-11-14T11:34:41.000Z","2025-11-14T11:39:31.000Z",{"code":13},{"id":25,"color":27,"translations":1474},[1475,1477,1479],{"title":26,"slug":30,"language":1476},{"code":13},{"title":37,"slug":38,"language":1478},{"code":18},{"title":33,"slug":34,"language":1480},{"code":23},[1482,1490],{"id":47,"label":1297,"translations":1483},[1484,1486,1488],{"label":1297,"slug":1308,"language":1485},{"code":13},{"label":1311,"slug":1312,"language":1487},{"code":18},{"label":1315,"slug":1316,"language":1489},{"code":23},{"id":65,"label":1231,"translations":1491},[1492,1494,1496],{"label":1231,"slug":1242,"language":1493},{"code":13},{"label":1245,"slug":1246,"language":1495},{"code":18},{"label":1249,"slug":1250,"language":1497},{"code":23},[1499],{"name":426,"enName":426,"ptName":426,"iso2":1500},"IN",[1502],{"name":1503,"slug":1504,"image":1505,"order":115},"Jorge Aguinaga","jorge-aguinaga","https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.griinstitute.org\u002Fuploads\u002Fhubnews_author\u002FFoto_Jorge_Aguinaga_2025_11_04_10_50_46_1762264246.jpg",{"en":1507},"\u002Freal-estate\u002Fde-risking-indian-residential-real-estate",[1509,1510,1511,1512,1513,1514],"Infra Brazil","Infra Latam","Real Estate Brazil","Real Estate Europe","Real Estate India","Real Estate Latam"]